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US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Active · Ends Dec 31, 2026

No probability

60.0%

24h change

+2.50%

Total volume

$352,010

Liquidity

$66,824

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 11Sep 15Sep 1840.0%60.0%

Outcomes

Yes40.0%
No60.0%

Order book

Yes · 87 levels
BidsSize
  1. 39¢73
  2. 38¢1,656
  3. 37¢9,619
  4. 36¢6,025
  5. 35¢2,213
  6. 34¢2,235
  7. 33¢534
  8. 32¢386
AsksSize
  1. 41¢197
  2. 42¢1,451
  3. 43¢2,119
  4. 44¢831
  5. 46¢246
  6. 47¢200
  7. 48¢36
  8. 49¢200

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Market opened Jun 11, 2026, 10:00 PM · Last updated Sep 18, 2026, 12:14 PM

Market data

24h volume

$25,532

1 week volume

$94,831

1 month volume

$344,757

1 year volume

$352,010

Spread

2.00%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.01

Competitiveness

99.0%

1h change

-0.50%

1 week change

+3.00%

1 month change

-17.50%

Negative risk

No

Condition ID:
0x7a833b2745bc6911db3ef244e37287c9ab1be1e63ee71266d2c79326cafbe285
Question ID:
0xdbbf0eaf871ae9a41bf25c1b216bc17eafb24740dbec10387e190add31a230f1

Frequently asked questions

What is the "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?" prediction market?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 40.0%, No at 60.0% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$352,010 in total volume, with $25,532 in the last 24 hours and $66,824 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Dec 31, 2026. The market opened on Aug 17, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.