
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Active · Ends Oct 1, 2026
No probability
99.5%
24h change
-0.05%
Total volume
$5.8M
Liquidity
$374,227
Price history
Outcomes
Order book
Yes · 91 levels
- 0¢10,204
- 0¢79,410
- 0¢65,994
- 0¢256,610
- 1¢23,616
- 1¢26,253
- 1¢34,101
- 1¢37,329
- 1¢5
- 1¢8
- 1¢3,281
- 1¢2,537
Furyhound4d ago
All the yes voters, now is the money time to ACT. not in polymarket. While I'm not affiliated with any organization. I do dig a LOT on the e.t subject. It has come to my attention that right now, there is a -prepared speech- in the pentagon for the disclosure of e.t's. if you want it to happen sooner, You can ask your US congress members, heads of defense and military to disclose any information about e.t's without cynicism or scaremongering. simply it is our global right to know. I've done this before, (with many thousands of others) and it did help bring those partial info release tranches. this does not guarentee 2026, but it does push the subject to happen sooner.
4
Furyhound4d ago
Write them a letter if that is not clear on the how. official representatives have ways to be contacted as public figures. Sure, one letter will be ignored. but we are sending them en masse
0
kjhdfhj77hfe6TT6d ago
Aliens should really schedule a press conference
1
LOLIPOP7d ago
The amount of excitement doesn't tell us the quality of evidence
0
0xf95C84e6EADb818AC4DAe33F6E3E56C3Edd13FFC-17211386284647d ago
Classified aircraft are one possible explanation, not a universal answer
0

evansulysses3916d ago
even 4% ? lol
0

Crypto-Monkey23d ago
People are getting so dumb that now there is market for aliens ... funny.
0
knead2know1mo ago
This will resolve to "No" if any announcement is about an NHI presence, rather than specifically extra terrestrial presence/discovery no?
0

LA171mo ago
add 2027
5
MattWalker1mo ago
Hey guys, I wrote the comment below 4 days ago. Train #5 arrived way faster than expected—the fifth tranche was officially dropped just 2.5 hours ago! 😇 🔴🦠🙈🚜🍿🛸👽💥 "I think we’ll all feel it coming. High probability for late August to early September. If it doesn't happen during the fifth tranche, the sixth will be critical in terms of accumulated info and the subsequent... "World, we are not alone.""
5
TaxIsTheft25d ago
Ok boomer.
0

messicoke1mo ago
If you knew what will going to be happen in november youd go all in as much you can. Im just saying this does not constitute investment advice.
2

Matezzi1mo ago
🤡
2
WPFUND1mo ago
Why november?
0
-0-1mo ago
does that mean all you have is 150 bucks? man it must sucks to be u.
2

messicoke1mo ago
Its just for my countrys tax purposes i have more than 3 accounts funded for this market
0
knead2know1mo ago
Well Trump could use an announcement of NHI presence to declare a national state of emergency to screw with the November elections.
0
OrganicTrade1mo ago
We got this
0
OrganicTrade1mo ago
Let's go !
0

Nibiru21mo ago
Trump can announce aliens at any minute, guys!
2

master-roshi1mo ago
don't give up guys. buy and hold
1
JohanDON1mo ago
😂
0
MattWalker1mo ago
Have a nice summer, red colleagues! 🤓 EXCLUSIVE: President Trump has directed the Department of War and the intelligence community to waive nondisclosure agreements for former government employees and contractors who want to cooperate with federal UAP investigators. The directive follows years of complaints from lawmakers and whistleblowers that people with firsthand knowledge were too afraid to talk. A new tranche of UAP files is expected "very soon." 🔴🦠🙈🚜🍿🛸👽💥
3
MattWalker1mo ago
And a gentle confirmation from the Professor: @ProfAviLoeb Every step taken by the Trump administration to lower barriers for the dissemination of credible evidence is a step toward a better scientific understanding of the nature of UAP. I welcome the reported decision to allow former officials and contractors to share relevant UAP information through authorized channels. Thank-you President @realDonaldTrump and the bipartisan UAP Caucus — including Representatives @realannapaulina , @EricBurlison , @timburchett , @NancyMace , @JaredEMoskowitz @SuhasforVA , @RobertGarcia as well as Senators @SenGillibrand , and @RoundsforSenate and others — for your sustained commitment to greater UAP transparency.🔴🦠🙈🚜🍿🛸👽💥
0
JohanDON1mo ago
any expected date for the disclosure ?
0
-0-1mo ago
settle down kid u got 1 grand in this
0
MattWalker1mo ago
Alright, uncle @-0-, whatever you say.🔴🦠🙈🚜🍿🛸👽💥
0
MattWalker1mo ago
I think we’ll all feel it coming. High probability for late August to early September. If it doesn't happen during the fifth tranche, the sixth will be critical in terms of accumulated info and the subsequent... "World, we are not alone."🔴🦠🙈🚜🍿🛸👽💥
0
MaximilianRaphael2mo ago
111
0
TakeItEasyMyBrotherCharlie2mo ago
Guys, all these UFO files are probably just enemy aircraft from past conflicts. Governments are smart enough not to admit that hostile forces entered their airspace, so they classify everything as top-secret UFO files
4
instantwind73182mo ago
set and forget copy trading
0
TakeItEasyMyBrotherCharlie2mo ago
guys, some UFO reports may have served as convenient cover for classified intelligence matters, either to conceal domestic secret programs or to avoid revealing what was known (or not known) about foreign incursions
0
TheFatArmenian - 368892mo ago
"President Trump will be making a Speech to the Nation on Thursday evening, at 9 P.M. Eastern. Thank you for your attention to this matter!" posted to Truth Social today
2
0xF0C60B07c86872E73688Fb0778F5A3e38618ff7A-17707668952062mo ago
What are the chances of it being about alien and not Iran?
1
JohanDON2mo ago
20%
0
JulioSigma1mo ago
oh it'll be about aliens.... illegal aliens
0
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market opened Apr 20, 2026, 4:07 PM · Last updated Sep 18, 2026, 12:12 PM
Market data
24h volume
$32,593
1 week volume
$1M
1 month volume
$1.8M
1 year volume
$5.8M
Spread
0.20%
Min order
5
Tick size
0.001
Competitiveness
80.3%
1h change
+0.05%
1 week change
-0.20%
1 month change
-1.35%
Negative risk
No
- Condition ID:
- 0xace3c72c24fccb6731433483ece41c780432d84850edccd5a6bf3147ccea62a9
- Question ID:
- 0xe6de339d4576ad9c66570ddb4c5ab0e0d087961c42cc8d1b9343d46ad5205683
Frequently asked questions
What is the "Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?" prediction market?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What are the current odds?
Yes at 0.5%, No at 99.5% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.
How much trading activity has this market generated?
$5.8M in total volume, with $32,593 in the last 24 hours and $374,227 of liquidity currently available.
When does this market close?
Trading runs until Oct 1, 2026. The market opened on Apr 20, 2026.
How do I trade this market?
Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.
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