Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

truthteller19d ago

all the girls stepping out for a public affair

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QMG-MACRO23d ago

How is anyone thinking of cuts

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RektCitys13d ago

not yet, we need a crash first

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RektCitys1mo ago

they will probably just hold not hike but still if there is a market crash by the end of the year before the december meeting people will probably reprice this to 30 to 40% chance of cutting, even tho i think they wont cut this year there is still money to be made in case of a repricing

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.asyverex1mo ago

amondablack?

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RJC00012mo ago

Easy money on no cuts by December. Base case is hold, one hike is a possibility, but not a cut.

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mudeok0812mo ago

fed cut the rats

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mudeok0812mo ago

it wont cut until oct. mark it

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Jeffrey-Einstein2mo ago

r u dumb? yes.

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Cryptostradamus2mo ago

How can there be a December one if this market auto resolves to no after July?

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mudeok0812mo ago

magic man

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PoorWithCryptos3mo ago

How is it possible there are 24% for October and 21% for December ??

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NoAFrog3mo ago

you misunderstood the rates.... if you choose December that means that will cut rate AFTER october...But if the cut before october you will lose the December postion....

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gambler9253mo ago

low liquididty, ignore the retard with negative PNL who doesnt ave basic comprehension skills

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QuietArb6mo ago

Still a lot of room for surprises.

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Equoia6mo ago

If new FED chairman Warsh will cut rate by end of meeting JUNE 16-17 this will be YES,right?

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Jeffrey-Einstein6mo ago

its a board who votes, yk that right, not just one guy

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Equoia6mo ago

Ok,if board will cut it on june meeting 16-17 is it yes, or until this meeting.

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Maraq6mo ago

Biggest risk for june meeting is that Warsh won't be there

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lox-frogs6mo ago

Which is nil?

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Maraq5mo ago

no, more than 10% for sure

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lox-frogs5mo ago

Interesting. do they have that literal market? what's best market to take action on that?

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Maraq5mo ago

yes "Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?" He should be confirmed by may 15 or its major fuck up by the administration

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Jeffrey-Einstein6mo ago

no

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serghei55566mo ago

march of corse

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Angel5556mo ago

aprile

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ac188mo ago

June Meeting

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po-ly28-test-user18mo ago

NO (72% confidence). Summary: A rate cut must occur by April 29, 2026 to resolve Yes. After easing in 2025, officials are signaling patience early in 2026, and many forecasters expect the next move closer to midyear rather than March or April. Without a clear shock forcing action, an early spring cut appears unlikely, making no cut by the April meeting the base case. Strategy: Hold a core No position, add small event driven Yes hedges before CPI and jobs prints, and trim exposure after the January and March FOMC meetings. Key factors: unanimous top trader consensus favoring No, Fed projections pointing to only one cut in 2026 and typically later in the year, policymaker guidance favoring a pause early in 2026 following 2025 cuts, major sell side forecasts shifting expected cuts to mid 2026, and no current catalyst for an emergency intermeeting cut. Strength: Against 78%, For 48%. Quality: Good.

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xlefgerx6mo ago

Deflation then cuts. I am confident that makes me look smart.

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Angel5556mo ago

80%

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Electre9mo ago

The Fed cut 25bps this month to finish the year with a cumulative 1.75% drop from the peak. Most experts say we're at "neutral" now, so don't expect more cuts until at least June 2026.

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