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Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Active · Ends Sep 20, 2026

No probability

52.5%

24h change

-26.00%

Total volume

$680,519

Liquidity

$88,395

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 11Sep 14Sep 1847.5%52.5%

Outcomes

Yes47.5%
No52.5%

Order book

Yes · 80 levels
BidsSize
  1. 48¢1,395
  2. 47¢954
  3. 46¢825
  4. 45¢2,282
  5. 44¢5,157
  6. 43¢984
  7. 42¢2,859
  8. 41¢4,189
AsksSize
  1. 49¢2,292
  2. 50¢3,727
  3. 51¢6,424
  4. 52¢19,959
  5. 53¢2,124
  6. 54¢932
  7. 55¢1,032
  8. 56¢832
  • jiffyjoker668881h ago

    fuck. I lost again. i thought AfD was a lock

    3

  • FabianDE2d ago

    CDU/Green voters might eventually vote SPD

    2

  • Lowtaperfade2d ago

    Don’t get too confident on AFD

    1

  • besofmyra14d ago

    Was ist passiert?

    0

  • fckafd1mo ago

    FDP 🍾

    0

  • InterestingUser2mo ago

    Ich bin ein Mecklenburger!

    2

  • scoutwing2mo ago

    und was meinst du?

    0

  • Anthest2mo ago

    Free money ig

    1

  • scoutwing2mo ago

    sehe ich auch so

    1

Rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).

Market opened Feb 10, 2026, 10:42 PM · Last updated Sep 18, 2026, 11:24 AM

Market data

24h volume

$204,312

1 week volume

$316,109

1 month volume

$600,677

1 year volume

$680,519

Spread

1.00%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.01

Competitiveness

99.9%

1h change

+4.00%

1 week change

-33.00%

1 month change

-37.00%

Negative risk

Yes

Condition ID:
0x6c9bd12ca2dded7eb4c688a3200e94f143cc95984eb1952ab71f7ec31e07cf8c
Question ID:
0x7325f9ed39a6b0a50c3060976e66e9a7801df301f46eda34909db0e856a82701

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?" prediction market?

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).

What are the current odds?

Yes at 47.5%, No at 52.5% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$680,519 in total volume, with $204,312 in the last 24 hours and $88,395 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Sep 20, 2026. The market opened on Feb 11, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.